From 2007 to 2010, Syria suffered a debilitating drought that brought crop failure and livestock mortality to as much as 60% of the country and displaced up to 1.5 million people. A year later, Syria descended into chaos. A repressive regime and the spread of the 2011 Arab Spring were the overt drivers of the conflict, but some scientists argue that drought played a powerful role. Now, a new study finds that human-induced climate change has increased the likelihood of such a severe drought occurring in the region two- to threefold. The researchers examined a century of observed trends in precipitation, temperature, and sea-level pressure in the Eastern Mediterranean and noted a long-term warming trend and decreased winter rainfall in the second half of the 20th century. That drying trend is separate from the climate’s natural (not human-induced) variability, they report online today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. When increased greenhouse gas emissions, particularly of carbon dioxide, are included in models, they more than double the likelihood of a severe, 3-year drought in the Fertile Crescent, they found. That agrees with the conclusion of a 2011 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration study that linked increasing incidence of droughts in the Mediterranean region over the last 20 years to human-induced climate change. The link to conflicts is more uncertain, but previous teams have found that fluctuations in climate have been a statistically significant driver of social disturbances over centuries of human history, including war, famine, and migration.
by, Kavan Peterson, Editor, ChangingAging.orgTweetShareShareEmail0 SharesLast Friday, Dr. Bill Thomas put out an urgent request to the ChangingAging community to help save the Kickstarter fundraising campaign for the documentary film “Alive Inside: A Story of Music & Memory.” The campaign was in danger of losing all its pledged funding if it didn’t raise an additional $3,000 by Monday to meet the $50,000 Kickstarter goal.We spread the word on the blog and Facebook and Twitter. Bill told me that if the goal wasn’t met by Monday, we would do a rare email blast to our fans. Instead, just a few hours later, we got the word from director Michael Rossato-Bennett that the donations poured in and they had exceeded their goal.We’re thrilled that “Alive Inside” met it’s goal and will be able to finish production of the groundbreaking film. If you happen to be attending The Pioneer Network Annual Meeting in Jacksonville, Florida, next week, I have more cool news — “Alive Inside” will be screened at the conference in an exclusive preview for the culture change world. Check it out.You can find Alive Inside on Facebook at www.facebook.com/bealiveinside, and on Twitter @AliveInsideFilm. Related PostsFinal Push Needed For ‘Alive Inside’As many readers know, I’ve had the pleasure of working with documentary film director Michael Rossato-Bennett on a groundbreaking documentary film ‘Alive Inside’: A Story of Music & Memory. ‘Alive Inside’ is the story of Dan Cohen, a small town social worker who discovers how personalized music can “awaken” and regenerate deeply locked…Music Can Be at the Heart of a Life Worth Living: Dr. Bill Thomas in Alive InsideMillions of people watched the YouTube video of Henry, a nursing home resident, literally “come alive inside” after listening to some of his favorite music. The most recent web clip from the documentary Alive Inside features Dr. Bill Thomas on how music can be at the heart of a life…Innovators Take To the Road to Disrupt DementiaMichael Rossato-Bennett, director of the award-winning documentary, Alive Inside, is teaming up with Dr. Bill Thomas’ Age of Disruption Tour to create a first-of-its kind workshop to Disrupt Dementia.TweetShareShareEmail0 SharesTags: alive inside Dementia music